RulebookFunds in football

Why would anyone buy a football club?

Most football clubs lose money, pay almost no dividends and answer to supporters who would rather their owner did not exist. And yet some of the most disciplined investors in the world — funds whose entire job is to earn a return — are queuing to buy them. The paradox dissolves once you stop looking at the annual accounts and start looking at the exit.

By Anthony Marbler21 September 202611 min

+21%

The rise in the average value of the world's thirty most valuable clubs in a single year, to $2.9bn in Forbes' 2026 ranking. Very few of those clubs made a profit over the same period.

5.6×

The average multiple of revenue at which European clubs are valued. American franchises trade far higher: 10.7× in the NFL, 12.9× in the NBA. For an American fund, European football looks cheap.

The paradox, stated properly

If you judged football clubs the way you would judge any other company, almost nobody would buy one. The industry spends nearly every euro it earns on wages, and much of the rest on transfer fees. Profits are rare, irregular and usually come from selling players. Dividends are close to non-existent. A club that tried to pay its owner a return every year would be spending money that its rivals are putting into their squads, and would soon stop winning.

A fund knows all this before it signs. The reason it buys anyway is that its return does not come from the annual accounts. It comes from the difference between the price paid on the way in and the price received on the way out.

Football is not bought as an income-producing business. It is bought as an asset expected to appreciate — closer to a building in a prime location than to a factory.

Which raises the real question: why should that asset keep appreciating?

Five reasons a club gains value

Three come from the market, two from the buyer.

What drives the price up

ScarcityThere are twenty Premier League clubs and no way to create a twenty-first. Supply is fixed; the number of wealthy buyers is not. Every new fund entering the market bids for the same short list.
Media rightsDomestic markets have flattened, but international and European rights are still rising: the Champions League cycle from 2027 is reported around 20% above the current one. A club is, among other things, a claim on that stream.
Real estateA stadium and the land around it can be developed, hosted in, and borrowed against. For many recent buyers the property is the thesis and the football is the tenant.

What the buyer brings

The valuation gapAn NBA franchise trades at more than twice the revenue multiple of a big European club. A fund that believes the gap will narrow buys the cheaper asset and waits.
Professional managementMany clubs are still run like family businesses. Better commercial deals, ticketing, hospitality and cost control can raise revenue without a single extra win.
What the price does not showSome owners buy for reasons no spreadsheet captures: visibility, access, influence. Funds rarely do — which is exactly why their presence has changed the market.

Of the five, the valuation gap deserves a moment, because it explains the nationality of most of the buyers. An American investor who has watched NFL and NBA franchises multiply in value over two decades looks at a European club and sees a similar product, with a global audience, trading at half the multiple. The bet is not that the club will become profitable. It is that the market will eventually price it more like an American franchise.

There is a structural reason to be careful with that comparison. American leagues are closed, with no relegation, a salary cap and revenue shared equally — the model described in the piece on how clubs make money. Their franchises are valuable precisely because they cannot fail sportingly. A European club can be relegated, and its value can halve in a single afternoon in May. Part of the valuation gap is not a mispricing. It is the price of that risk.

How a fund makes its return

Put those drivers together and the logic of a fund's investment looks like the bridge below. The figures are illustrative, but the mechanics are the ones every buyer models before bidding.

How a fund makes its return

Illustrative figures, € billions. The annual profit or loss of the club does not appear anywhere in the bridge.

1.0bn
+0.4bn
+0.4bn
1.8bn
Entry price€200m revenue × 5
Revenue growth€200m → €280m
Multiple expansion5× → 6.5×
Exit priceafter 5 to 7 years

Half the gain comes from the club growing, half from the market paying more for the same revenue. The second half is the one the fund does not control, and the one most buyers are counting on.

Notice what is missing. There is no bar for annual profit, because there usually isn't one. Losses along the way are simply added to the cost of entry — which is why a club that loses €30m a year for six years needs its exit price to rise by considerably more than the headline numbers suggest just to break even.

Three ways in

Funds do not all buy clubs in the same way. The structure they choose says a great deal about the risk they are willing to carry.

Buying control

The most visible route. Clearlake's consortium paid £4.25bn for Chelsea in 2022. RedBird bought AC Milan the same year for €1.2bn. In March 2026, Apollo completed the purchase of a majority stake in Atlético Madrid, in a deal valuing the club at around €2.5bn including debt — with the club's planned sports city around its stadium placed at the centre of the thesis. Control means the fund owns the upside and the losses, and has to fund both.

Buying a minority stake

A quieter route with a better risk profile. Arctos took 12.5% of Paris Saint-Germain in 2023. Minority investors get exposure to the club's rising value without running it, without funding its deficits beyond their share, and usually with contractual rights on the eventual exit. They are betting on the asset, not on themselves.

Lending

The least glamorous route, and historically one of the most profitable. A fund lends to an owner who needs cash, secured on the club. If the loan is repaid, the fund earns a high interest rate. If it is not, the fund takes the club.

Worked example — two Milan clubs, one playbook

Both of Milan's clubs changed hands the same way: a Chinese owner borrowed from an American fund, could not repay, and the fund ended up owning the club.

WhenWhat happened
AC Milan, 2018Elliott takes control after its borrower defaults, then sells to RedBird in 2022 for €1.2bn.
Inter, 2021Oaktree lends €275m to the Zhang family's Suning group during the pandemic.
Inter, May 2024With around €395m due and unpaid, Oaktree takes ownership of the club.

The lender in both cases entered at the most defensive point of the capital structure — ahead of the owner, with the club as collateral — and ended with the most valuable asset. Not a passion to own, but a risk to be priced and secured.

Or skipping the clubs entirely

A fourth route avoids the sporting risk altogether: buying into the league rather than a club. CVC's deals with LaLiga and France's LFP, and the stake Serie A is now trying to sell in its international media business, give investors a share of every club's broadcast income without any exposure to relegation. It is the same logic as lending — take the income, avoid the pitch.

What can go wrong

The funds that do well in football are the ones who remember that sport is the only industry in which the product can be relegated.

What can go wrong

Sport is the only industry in which the product can be relegated.

Risks a fund can model

RelegationRevenue in England can fall by more than half in a season. Parachute payments soften it; they do not remove it.
RegulationSpending rules limit how much an owner may inject. A fund that planned to buy success with cash may find it cannot legally spend it.
Exit liquidityThe number of buyers able to pay a billion euros for a club is small. When they step back, prices can stall for years.

Risks it tends to underrate

SupportersFans can make a club unmanageable, block a stadium project or make sponsors nervous. No financial model prices a boycott well.
Time horizonA fund needs to sell in five to seven years. A club's cycle — a squad, a stadium, an academy — often takes longer.
LeverageBorrowing to buy a club turns a sporting setback into a financial one, and a financial one into a crisis.

The collapse of 777 Partners is the cautionary example the whole industry now cites. Between 2021 and 2023, the American firm assembled stakes in Genoa, Standard Liège, Red Star, Vasco da Gama, Hertha Berlin and others, and agreed to buy Everton. The Everton deal fell apart in 2024 as the firm's finances unravelled, its UK entity was declared bankrupt that October, and its clubs were left looking for new owners mid-season. Its co-founder has since been indicted in the United States on fraud charges. Few investors were as reckless — but every club in that portfolio learned the same lesson: the owner's balance sheet is part of the club's risk, whether the club chose it or not.

The tension worth watching

A fund must eventually sell. A club never ends. For now the two timetables are compatible, because valuations keep rising and there is always a larger buyer waiting. The real test will come when a generation of funds that bought between 2022 and 2026 all try to exit at once — and discover how many buyers are really prepared to pay a higher multiple for an asset that can still be relegated.

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